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What is the End of the Political Drama between Ganjar Pranowo and Puan Maharani?

It is too early to conclude that the rivalry drama between Puan Maharani and Ganjar will continue until 2024. The issue is who are the “playmaker” and “kingmaker” immediately secure Ganjar Pranowo from the political pressure of Megawati and Puan Maharani. Megawati was very wise when she allowed Jokowi to become a leader in this country twice, rather than choosing his daughter as a presidential candidate in 2014.

Ganjar Pranowo has also been very lucky because he has become a member of the parliament of the PDI-P, which led him to become the governor of Central Java. Ganjar Pranowo cannot ignore Megawati’s role, especially Ganjar as a Javanese. Javanese culture does not allow a person to be very arrogant towards people who have contributed to his life. That is why, every time there is a conflict between Puan and Ganjar, the governor of Central Java often plays political symbols to respond to any harsh reprimand, either from Mega or Puan. Therefore, Javanese culture will provide a separate way for Ganjar to escape the political influence of Megawati and Puan Maharani. Alternatively, vice versa, Ganjar will continue to be under the shadow of Megawati and Puan Maharani for his political career in the future.

Currently, Ganjar’s supporters have started to appear. Even Ganjar’s activities are often seen as threatening the position of Puan Maharani. Puan showed her dislike for someone, but that person’s name was not made public. However, both at the central and regional levels, PDI-P officials often pointed out that Puan’s remarks were directed at Ganjar.

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In the last survey conducted by Kompas, Ganjar’s name is almost in line with Prabowo’s position. At the same time, Anies is in the third position. Puan Maharani still has to raise her electability level in the top 5.

This condition implies that the community more accepts Ganjar than Puan Maharani, which will also influence Megawati to calculate political calculations if she wants Puan Maharani to run as a presidential candidate. However, the political compass will turn if Megawati allows Puan Maharani to be with Prabowo.

It seems that Puan with Prabowo was a strategic choice for Megawati.  However, People’s expectations through Ganjar’s electability can be used as a social fact for PDI-P, without being trapped in a disharmonious relationship between Ganjar and Puan Maharani. However, Ganjar had to start having polite political communication with Megawati and Puan Maharani. Thus, the success of the PDIP through its parties and cadres will not be “stained” in the upcoming elections.

However, Ganjar’s supporters will also carry out political calculations, especially if the retired military has experience campaigning for Jokowi in the previous presidential elections. When this becomes a new kind of force outside the PDIP, it is not impossible; Ganjar will remind us of Jokowi’s success in winning the presidential election. Therefore, Ganjar may be against the presidential and vice-presidential candidates from the PDI-P.

This situation is also related to PDIP loyalists who greatly respect the Bung Karno family. They will find a way to prevent Ganjar from competing in the upcoming presidential election. However, this effort will certainly not have a substantial effect if Ganjar’s figure is increasingly more prevalent when the PDI-P increasingly ostracizes him. Jokowi has proven this assumption in the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections.

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Even though it’s still 2022, the political figures who are well-known to the public will continue to be “stars of the field.” However, anything can happen when these famous figures are exposed to “their past.” Then, people slowly move away from these figures. (To be continued).



Kamaruzzaman Bustamam Ahmad

Kamaruzzaman Bustamam-Ahmad (KBA) has followed his curiosity throughout life, which has carried him into the fields of Sociology of Anthropology of Religion in Southeast Asia, Islamic Studies, Sufism, Cosmology, and Security, Geostrategy, Terrorism, and Geopolitics. KBA is the author of over 30 books and 50 academic and professional journal articles and book chapters. His academic training is in social anthropology at La Trobe University, Islamic Political Science at the University of Malaya, and Islamic Legal Studies at UIN Sunan Kalijaga Yogyakarta. He received many fellowships: Asian Public Intellectual (The Nippon Foundation), IVLP (American Government), Young Muslim Intellectual (Japan Foundation), and Islamic Studies from Within (Rockefeller Foundation). He is based in Banda Aceh and can be reached at ceninnets@yahoo.com.au

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